Match Info

CHINA: YI LEAGUE - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 21

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Hubei Istar		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	17	5.75	1.16
				Watch
	13.95	5.59	1.15
	12	5.5	1.17
	14.5	6.4	1.14
	16	5.6	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.69 ↑ (7.6)	5.77 ↑ (4.35)	1.15 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubei Istar
6.1%

Draw
15.6%

Yunnan Yukun
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

20.5%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

19.9%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubei Istar's form might have worsened.

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yunnan Yukun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubei Istar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yunnan Yukun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Hubei Istar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yunnan Yukun is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Yunnan Yukun is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hubei Istar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
10.10.23	Hubei Istar - Guangxi Lanhang	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Hubei Istar	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Yunnan Yukun - Hubei Istar	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Guangxi Lanhang - Hubei Istar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWTL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Yi League
10.10.23	Dalian Zhixing - Yunnan Yukun	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Yunnan Yukun - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Beijing Institute of Technology - Yunnan Yukun	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Yunnan Yukun - Hubei Istar	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Zhixing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
03.09.23	Yunnan Yukun - Hubei Istar	1:1

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