Match Info

Date: 17 July 2020, Friday


	Huesca		Numancia

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6.75
	1.58	3.55	6.5	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5.6
	1.64	3.62	6.5
	1.6	3.6	6	Watch
	1.64	3.82	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	3.66 ↑ (3.56)	6.21 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huesca
59.1%

Draw
25.8%

Numancia
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

26.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

15.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-25.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huesca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	5.9%	6.9%

Huesca - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: Huesca will win (88 of 101 users predict this - 87.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.6% – 93.66%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
11.07.20	Racing Santander - Huesca	1:0 ✺
08.07.20	Huesca - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
05.07.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Huesca	2:1 ✺
02.07.20	Huesca - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
29.06.20	Zaragoza - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWW
- CD Numancia
Spanish LaLiga2
12.07.20	Numancia - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
09.07.20	Rayo Vallecano - Numancia	3:2 ✺
04.07.20	Numancia - Extremadura UD	1:0 ✺
01.07.20	Lugo - Numancia	3:1 ✺
28.06.20	Numancia - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.09.19	Numancia - Huesca	1:0
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Numancia - Huesca	5:1
Spanish LaLiga2
14.01.18	Huesca - Numancia	2:1
19.08.17	Numancia - Huesca	1:0
04.06.17	Huesca - Numancia	0:0
06.01.17	Numancia - Huesca	0:0
03.04.16	Numancia - Huesca	3:2

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