Match Info

Date: 12 July 2020, Sunday


	Numancia		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.87	3	Watch
	2.65	2.85	3
	2.7	2.88	2.88	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.95
	2.71	2.79	3.21
	2.55	2.88	3	Watch
	2.68	2.8	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.4)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)	3.02 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
35.6%

Draw
33.2%

Ponferradina
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

32.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	60%	4%

Numancia - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish LaLiga2
09.07.20	Rayo Vallecano - Numancia	3:2 ✺
04.07.20	Numancia - Extremadura UD	1:0 ✺
01.07.20	Lugo - Numancia	3:1 ✺
28.06.20	Numancia - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
24.06.20	Girona - Numancia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
08.07.20	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:1 ✺
05.07.20	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
01.07.20	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	0:3 ✺
27.06.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
24.06.20	Ponferradina - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.19	Ponferradina - Numancia	1:1
06.03.16	Ponferradina - Numancia	1:0
03.10.15	Numancia - Ponferradina	1:0
15.02.15	Ponferradina - Numancia	1:2
13.09.14	Numancia - Ponferradina	1:3
18.05.14	Ponferradina - Numancia	0:1
14.12.13	Numancia - Ponferradina	2:0

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