Match Info

Date: 1 July 2020, Wednesday


	Lugo		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.87	2.8	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.8
	2.8	2.8	2.88	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.7
	2.97	2.89	2.88
	2.75	3	2.7	Watch
	2.93	2.82	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.67)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	2.8 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
33.3%

Draw
32.9%

Numancia
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

22.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.7%	60%	14.3%

Lugo - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Numancia will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
28.06.20	Sporting de Gijón - Lugo	2:0 ✺
23.06.20	Lugo - Málaga	0:0 ✺
20.06.20	Las Palmas - Lugo	1:0 ✺
16.06.20	Lugo - Zaragoza	1:3 ✺
13.06.20	Racing Santander - Lugo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLW
- CD Numancia
Spanish LaLiga2
28.06.20	Numancia - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
24.06.20	Girona - Numancia	2:0 ✺
21.06.20	Fuenlabrada - Numancia	2:0 ✺
18.06.20	Numancia - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
14.06.20	Mirandés - Numancia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.19	Numancia - Lugo	3:1
02.02.19	Numancia - Lugo	3:0
01.09.18	Lugo - Numancia	3:2
14.04.18	Numancia - Lugo	2:0
12.11.17	Lugo - Numancia	0:1
21.05.17	Numancia - Lugo	0:1
11.12.16	Lugo - Numancia	3:1

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