Match Info

Date: 9 July 2020, Thursday


	Rayo Vallecano		Numancia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.75
	1.75	3.5	4.85	Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.8
	1.76	3.54	5.25
	1.73	3.4	5	Watch
	1.79	3.3	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2)	3.43 ↑ (3.22)	4.99 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
53.7%

Draw
27.5%

Numancia
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

18.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Vallecano's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	16.5%	7.6%

Rayo Vallecano - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 60 - 75.9%). Numancia will win (votes: 6 - 7.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 66.5% – 85.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
06.07.20	Zaragoza - Rayo Vallecano	2:4 ✺
02.07.20	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	0:0 ✺
29.06.20	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	3:2 ✺
25.06.20	Rayo Vallecano - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
20.06.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Rayo Vallecano	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLTT
- CD Numancia
Spanish LaLiga2
04.07.20	Numancia - Extremadura UD	1:0 ✺
01.07.20	Lugo - Numancia	3:1 ✺
28.06.20	Numancia - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
24.06.20	Girona - Numancia	2:0 ✺
21.06.20	Fuenlabrada - Numancia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.19	Numancia - Rayo Vallecano	2:2
21.01.18	Numancia - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
26.08.17	Rayo Vallecano - Numancia	2:2
25.03.17	Numancia - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
16.10.16	Rayo Vallecano - Numancia	3:3

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