Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Alcoraz (Huesca)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Huesca		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.8	2.5	2.95
	2.85	2.7	2.9
	2.94	2.79	3
	2.92	2.78	2.88	Watch
	2.96	2.71	2.88	Watch
	2.85	2.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)	2.9 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huesca
32.8%

Draw
34.7%

Real Oviedo
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	35.7%	7.1%

Huesca - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Oviedo will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huesca: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Huesca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Huesca (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Huesca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez Juan (G) 7. Valentin G. 5. Loureiro M. 15. Blasco J. 4. Pulido R. 20. Vilarrasa I. 11. Munoz J. 23. Sielva O. 22. Kortajarena I. 19. Soko P. 9. Enrich S.	13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 3. Alhassane R. 8. Cazorla S. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 23. Hassan H. 10. Portillo F. 19. Vinas F.
Substitutes
37. Chatiliez W. 29. Escario J. 18. Gonzalez D. 27. Hernandez J. 16. Moi 40. Moreno E. (G) 30. Pereda A. (G) 8. Perez J. 38. Saadouni M. 2. Toni Abad 21. Unzueta I. 10. Vallejo H.	9. Alemao 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 16. Chaira I. 31. Chukwuma E. 17. de la Hoz C. 35. Falah O. 15. Luengo O. 30. Marco Esteban 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 21. Pomares C.
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Paunovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Alhassane R. 🟨,
19', Perez Juan 🟥,
23', Enrich S. ↓, Pereda A. ↑,
43', Valentin G. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Cazorla S. ⚽, Calvo D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vilarrasa I. ↓, Toni Abad ↑,
46', Munoz J. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
46', Vinas F. ↓, Alemao ↑,
46', Alhassane R. ↓, Pomares C. ↑,
60', Portillo F. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
60', Colombatto S. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Hassan H. ⚽, Alemao (A),
64', Sielva O. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Soko P. ⚽,
76', Blasco J. ↓, Moi ↑,
77', Hassan H. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
82', Moyano F. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 2.

Recent performances by Huesca have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oviedo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Huesca: Arguigue Safsati A. (International duty) Hernandez J. (Muscle Injury) Jimenez D. (Injury) Mier J. (Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Muscle Injury) Braat Q. (Overload) Chaira I. (Muscle Injury) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury) Pomares C. (Injury) Seoane J. (Yellow Cards) de la Fuente P. (Knock)

There are questionable in Huesca: Sielva O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Oviedo: Calvo D. (Injury) Costas D. (Injury) Hassan H. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Huesca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Huesca - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
14.04.25	Huesca - Málaga	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Burgos - Huesca	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWLW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Córdoba - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Eibar - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Real Oviedo - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.24	Real Oviedo - Huesca	0:3
04.05.24	Huesca - Real Oviedo	0:2
04.10.23	Real Oviedo - Huesca	1:0
22.01.23	Huesca - Real Oviedo	1:1
12.10.22	Real Oviedo - Huesca	0:1
13.02.22	Real Oviedo - Huesca	3:3
06.09.21	Huesca - Real Oviedo	1:2

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