Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 35

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Oviedo		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.38	4.2	7.75
	1.43	3.95	8.4	Watch
	1.46	3.87	9.58	Watch
	1.43	4.21	8.19	Watch
	1.43	3.95	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.31)	4.06 ↓ (5.59)	8.47 ↑ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
65.8%

Draw
23.1%

Ferrol
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

16.7%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

11.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Real Oviedo - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Oviedo (1.78) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 15. Luengo O. 12. Calvo D. 24. Ahijado L. 11. Colombatto S. 6. Sibo K. 7. Moyano F. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 20. Seoane J. 9. Alemao	25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 18. Martinez B. 16. Manzanara F. 17. Dorrio J. 6. Sanz A. 10. Sene J. 8. Pena H. 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
3. Alhassane R. 27. Cardero A. 31. Chukwuma E. 4. Costas D. 35. Falah O. 23. Hassan H. 26. Narvaez M. (G) 14. Paraschiv D. 21. Pomares C. 10. Portillo F. 33. Valdera R. 19. Vinas F.	21. Blanco R. 7. Borrego C. 23. Cabaco E. 15. Castro D. 1. Emilio (G) 2. Garcia N. 14. Gelardo A. 12. Insua E. 9. Jauregi E. 11. Nacho 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)
Coaches
Paunovic V.	Menendez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Vidal N. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. ⚽, Moyano F. (A),
63', Moyano F. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
63', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
63', Pena H. ↓, Nacho ↑,
74', Cazorla S. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
74', Alemao ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
74', Seoane J. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
74', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
77', Ahijado L. ↓, Pomares C. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Vidal N. ⚽, Pomares C. (A),
86', Dorrio J. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
86', Martinez B. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Vinas F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2.

Recent matches Oviedo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Oviedo is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Oviedo: Braat Q. (Overload) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knock) de la Hoz C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Ferrol: Correa R. (Injury) Perea L. (Ankle Injury) Yoel (Injury)

There are questionable in Oviedo: Chaira I. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.25	Eibar - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Real Oviedo - Málaga	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Granada - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLTL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.25	Elche - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Málaga - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ferrol - Eibar	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Granada - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:5
20.01.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:3
20.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1
20.07.22	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.15	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	0:0
12.10.14	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	4:1

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