Match Info

Championship - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hull City		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.75
	2.46	3.44	2.81
	2.63	3.5	2.74
	2.74	3.17	2.60	Watch
	2.47	3.3	2.74	Watch
	2.49	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.61)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	2.73 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
37.3%

Draw
28.1%

Sheffield United
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

27.6%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	10%	45%

Hull City - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sheff Utd (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sheff Utd (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sheff Utd (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. 3. Giles R. 27. Slater R. 5. Lundstram J. 11. Akintola B. 21. Gelhardt J. 24. Gyabi D. 9. McBurnie O.	1. Cooper M. (G) 2. Tanganga J. (C) 25. McGuinness M. 15. Mee B. 19. Ogbene C. 42. Peck S. 28. Matos A. 3. McCallum S. 8. Hamer G. 10. O'Hare C. 23. Campbell T.
Substitutes
6. Ajayi S. 25. Crooks M. 39. Destan E. 18. Drameh C. 23. Famewo A. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 7. Millar L. 12. Phillips D. (G)	27. Barry L. 6. Bindon T. 14. Burrows H. 7. Cannon T. 17. Davies A. (G) 22. Davies T. 9. Ings D. 38. Seriki F. 18. Soumare D.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Wilder C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Lundstram J. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Akintola B. ⚽, Coyle L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', O'Hare C. 🟨,
60', McGuinness M. 🟨,
60', McBurnie O. 🟨,
62', Akintola B. ↓, Crooks M. ↑,
62', Gyabi D. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
63', O'Hare C. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
63', Peck S. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
72', McCallum S. ↓, Burrows H. ↑,
72', Campbell T. ↓, Cannon T. ↑,
81', Matos A. ↓, Barry L. ↑,
82', Gelhardt J. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
82', McBurnie O. ↓, Ajayi S. ↑,
88', Burrows H. (Pen),
88', Egan J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 1.

Hull has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sheff Utd is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Injury) Crooks M. (Ankle Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Ndala J. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Brooks A. (Injury) Sachdev S. (Broken Leg) Shackleton J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Vaughan H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Godfrey B. (Personal Reasons)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hull won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Hull City - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
30.09.25	Hull City - Preston North End	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Watford - Hull City	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Hull City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Swansea City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Bristol City - Hull City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWTL
- Sheffield United
English League Championship
30.09.25	Sheffield United - Southampton	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Oxford United - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sheffield United - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield United	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Middlesbrough - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
24.01.25	Sheffield United - Hull City	0:3
13.09.24	Hull City - Sheffield United	0:2
20.01.23	Sheffield United - Hull City	1:0
04.09.22	Hull City - Sheffield United	0:2
15.02.22	Sheffield United - Hull City	0:0
18.09.21	Hull City - Sheffield United	1:3
22.04.19	Hull City - Sheffield United	0:3

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