Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Bramall Lane (Sheffield)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Sheffield United		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.47	3.35	2.86	Watch
	2.54	3.42	2.91
	2.54	3.42	2.9	Watch
	2.12	3.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.12)	3.46 ↓ (3.8)	2.91 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
39.6%

Draw
27.6%

Southampton
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sheffield United's form might have worsened.

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	15%	30%

Sheffield United - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sheff Utd will win (votes: 11 - 55%). S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Utd: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 2 - 25%). S`hampton (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - S`hampton (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - S`hampton (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 2 - 20%). S`hampton (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 2. Tanganga J. (C) 25. McGuinness M. 15. Mee B. 19. Ogbene C. 42. Peck S. 22. Davies T. 14. Burrows H. 10. O'Hare C. 8. Hamer G. 23. Campbell T.	1. McCarthy A. (G) 12. Edwards R. 15. Wood N. 17. Quarshie J. 3. Manning R. 20. Jander C. 24. Charles S. 18. Fellows T. 10. Azaz F. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 11. Stewart R.
Substitutes
27. Barry L. 6. Bindon T. 7. Cannon T. 17. Davies A. (G) 9. Ings D. 28. Matos A. 3. McCallum S. 38. Seriki F. 18. Soumare D.	19. Archer C. 31. Bazunu G. (G) 42. Downs D. 26. Fraser R. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 38. Jelert E. 46. Robinson J. 2. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 13. Scienza L.
Coaches
Wilder C.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽, Hamer G. (A),
36', Campbell T. 🟨,
37', Manning R. 🟨,
45+4', Tanganga J. 🟨,
45+5', Wilder C. 🟥,
45+5', Armstrong A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Charles S. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
46', Azaz F. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
46', Charles S. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Stewart R. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Stewart R. ⚽, Robinson J. (A),
67', Armstrong A. 🟨,
70', Davies T. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
71', Campbell T. ↓, Cannon T. ↑,
75', Armstrong A. ↓, Downes F. ↑,
75', Manning R. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
82', Ogbene C. ↓, Seriki F. ↑,
83', Mee B. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
85', Stewart R. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
86', Burrows H. ↓, McCallum S. ↑,
90+1', Peck S. 🟨,
90+5', Wood N. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 0.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Sheff Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Brooks A. (Injury) Sachdev S. (Broken Leg) Shackleton J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Davies T. (Injury) Godfrey B. (Personal Reasons) Ings D. (Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Welington (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
English League Championship
27.09.25	Oxford United - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sheffield United - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield United	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Middlesbrough - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Sheffield United - Millwall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
27.09.25	Southampton - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Liverpool - Southampton	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
20.09.25	Hull City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Southampton - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Watford - Southampton	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
21.09.21	Sheffield United - Southampton	2:3 penalties
English Premier League
06.03.21	Sheffield United - Southampton	0:2
13.12.20	Southampton - Sheffield United	3:0
26.07.20	Southampton - Sheffield United	3:1
14.09.19	Sheffield United - Southampton	0:1
English League Cup
16.12.14	Sheffield United - Southampton	1:0

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