Match Info

Championship - Play Offs

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)


	Hull City		Southampton

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.76
	4.5	3.4	1.85
	4.43	3.45	1.86
	3.76	3.08	1.95
	4.31	3.29	1.92	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.85
	4.6	3.55	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (4.54)	3.35 ↑ (3.31)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
21.7%

Draw
28.1%

Southampton
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

28.5%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

27.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Hull City - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 1 - 25%). S`hampton will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Federation decision. Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hull may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, S`hampton is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hull won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 6.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hull City - the odds 4.54 are the expected chance of winning is 20.74%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
23.05.26	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Millwall - Hull City	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Hull City - Millwall	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Hull City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Hull City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWTWL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
12.05.26	Southampton - Middlesbrough	2:1 ET ✺
09.05.26	Middlesbrough - Southampton	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Preston North End - Southampton	1:3 ✺
28.04.26	Southampton - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
25.04.26	Manchester City - Southampton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.01.26	Southampton - Hull City	1:2
20.09.25	Hull City - Southampton	3:1
20.02.24	Southampton - Hull City	1:2
21.10.23	Hull City - Southampton	1:2
English Premier League
29.04.17	Southampton - Hull City	0:0
06.11.16	Hull City - Southampton	2:1
11.04.15	Southampton - Hull City	2:0

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