The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bentleigh Greens 17.1%
Draw 20.9%
Hume City 62%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
25.8%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
25.1%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bentleigh Greens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bentleigh Greens's form might have worsened.
Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hume City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bentleigh Greens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hume City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bentleigh Greens - Hume City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, ⚽,
24', 0 - 3, ⚽,
31', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 4, ⚽,
63', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bentleigh Greens won 2.
Recent form of Bentleigh Greens has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hume City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Bentleigh Greens has had a series of home games.
Hume City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bentleigh Greens won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bentleigh Greens won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).