Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 12

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: City Vista Recreation Reserve (Melbourne)


	Caroline Springs George Cross		Hume City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.92	Watch
	3.01	3.7	2.17
	13.36	8.34	1.14	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	3.41	3.52	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (2.9)	4.45 ↑ (3.77)	1.86 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caroline Springs George Cross
20.1%

Draw
23.5%

Hume City
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

24.4%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Springs George Cross has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caroline Springs George Cross's form might have worsened.

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hume City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Springs George Cross than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caroline Springs George Cross, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hume City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caroline Springs George Cross - Hume City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Caroline Springs (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caroline Springs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, ⚽,
30', 2 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hume City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Springs George Cross
Australian NPL Victoria
02.05.26	Avondale - Caroline Springs George Cross	5:2 ✺
25.04.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Heidelberg United	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Melbourne City Youth - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - St Albans Dinamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTW
- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
02.05.26	Hume City - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Melbourne City Youth - Hume City	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Hume City - St Albans Dinamo	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Hume City	3:2 ✺
27.03.26	Hume City - Preston Lions	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLLW

Caroline Springs George Cross - Hume City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide