Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 18

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Hume City		North Geelong Warriors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.21	6	11
	1.2	5.5	8
	1.21	6.63	10.54
	1.18	5.5	12
	1.18	6.4	11.75	Watch
	1.2	6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.32)	6.01 ↑ (4.6)	10.55 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hume City
76.2%

Draw
15.2%

North Geelong Warriors
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.6%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

10.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hume City's performance.

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-39.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hume City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Geelong Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Hume City - North Geelong Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hume City will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). North Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Hume City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

North Geelong has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hume City is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hume City won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hume City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
11.06.23	St Albans Dinamo - Hume City	3:0 ✺
03.06.23	Hume City - Avondale	0:1 ✺
26.05.23	Heidelberg United - Hume City	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Hume City - Altona Magic	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- North Geelong Warriors
Australian NPL Victoria
10.06.23	Avondale - North Geelong Warriors	3:0 ✺
03.06.23	North Geelong Warriors - Altona Magic	0:5 ✺
27.05.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors	4:0 ✺
20.05.23	North Geelong Warriors - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	South Melbourne - North Geelong Warriors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
18.03.23	North Geelong Warriors - Hume City	0:4
20.08.17	Hume City - North Geelong Warriors	2:1
13.05.17	North Geelong Warriors - Hume City	1:1
27.06.15	North Geelong Warriors - Hume City	0:1

Hume City - North Geelong Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide