Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 16

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	North Geelong Warriors		Altona Magic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.7	1.93
	3.32	3.94	1.96
	3.2	3.5	1.95
	3.24	3.78	1.95	Watch
	3.2	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.68)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Geelong Warriors
28.2%

Draw
24.8%

Altona Magic
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

24.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Geelong Warriors's form might have worsened.

Altona Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altona Magic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Geelong Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altona Magic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Geelong Warriors - Altona Magic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The competitors look crappy now.

Altona Magic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches North Geelong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Geelong Warriors
Australian NPL Victoria
27.05.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors	4:0 ✺
20.05.23	North Geelong Warriors - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	South Melbourne - North Geelong Warriors	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Oakleigh Cannons - North Geelong Warriors	5:0 ✺
29.04.23	North Geelong Warriors - St Albans Dinamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
27.05.23	Altona Magic - Avondale	2:5 ✺
20.05.23	Hume City - Altona Magic	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Altona Magic - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
04.03.23	Altona Magic - North Geelong Warriors	1:0

North Geelong Warriors - Altona Magic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide