Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 11

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Loudi Sports Center (Loudi)


	Hunan Billows		Shanghai Port B

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	3.9
				Watch
	1.88	3.27	3.71
	1.88	3.27	3.71
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.85	3.48	3.72
	2.09	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.22)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.63 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hunan Billows
47.1%

Draw
28%

Shanghai Port B
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

32%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hunan Billows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hunan Billows's performance.

Shanghai Port B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Hunan Billows - Shanghai Port B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Dong Jianhong (G) 3. Chen Fangzhou 6. Chen Ao 22. Tursun Qeyser 16. Liu Jing 27. Zu Pengchao 25. Li Chenguang 21. Lu Yuefeng 32. Wang B. 45. Lu Y. 15. Lin Jinghao	41. Xi Anjie (G) 43. Lu Kun 60. Tang Yuxuan 50. Wang Yulong 11. Li Haoran 6. Zhao S. 54. Fan Y. 46. Liu B. 52. Meng Jingchao 49. Li X. 55. Wang Song
Substitutes
1. Bai S. (G) 9. Gao Mingqi 37. Geng Zhiqing 20. Halimurat Kamiran 2. Hu Yongfa 23. Liao Haochuan 17. Liao Wei 19. Liu Xinyu 18. Sun Zewen 10. Wang Zhipeng 46. Wei Z. 57. Yu Haozhen	62. Chen Yang 48. Fang Yuan 45. Jiang Erhan 10. Liao Chongjiu 57. Li Jaqi 47. Lin Jinrong 61. Li Zhiliang (G) 8. Peng H. 7. Wang H. 53. Wu Jin 59. Yang Zihan 51. Zhang Huiyu
Coaches
Teng Renjun	Chen Xufeng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Lu Yuefeng ⚽, Zu Pengchao (A),
36', Fan Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fan Y. ↓, Lin Jinrong ↑,
55', Lin Jinghao ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
57', Wang Song ↓, Jiang Erhan ↑,
57', Meng Jingchao ↓, Li Jaqi ↑,
61', Chen Fangzhou ↓, Liao Wei ↑,
66', Li X. ↓, Liao Chongjiu ↑,
69', Zu Pengchao 🟨,
72', Zhao S. ↓, Zhang Huiyu ↑,
78', Lu Y. ↓, Wei Z. ↑,
78', Zu Pengchao ↓, Halimurat Kamiran ↑,
78', Chen Ao ↓, Liao Haochuan ↑,
87', Li Chenguang 🟨,
90+2', 🟥,
90+2', Tursun Qeyser 🟨,
90+7', Dong Jianhong 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hunan Billows will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
02.06.24	Hunan Billows - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Hunan Billows	3:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Hunan Billows - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:3 ✺
Chinese Yi League
12.05.24	Hunan Billows - Guangxi Lanhang	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Kunming City - Hunan Billows	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWW
- Shanghai Port B
Chinese Yi League
01.06.24	Shanghai Port B - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Shanghai Port B - Kunming City	6:1 ✺
11.05.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shanghai Port B	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
28.04.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shanghai Port B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWL

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