Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 10

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Loudi Sports Center (Loudi)

Referee: Wang Yang (Chn)


	Hunan Billows		Guangdong GZ-Power

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.2
				Watch
	2.83	3.05	2.38
	2.83	2.99	2.22
	3.3	3.2	2
	2.9	3.04	2.37
	2.9	3.1	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (4.4)	3.08 ↓ (3.6)	2.24 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hunan Billows
30.7%

Draw
29.2%

Guangdong GZ-Power
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

25.3%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.8%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hunan Billows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hunan Billows's performance.

Guangdong GZ-Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangdong GZ-Power might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hunan Billows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangdong GZ-Power could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hunan Billows - Guangdong GZ Power Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Dong Jianhong (G) 15. Lin Jinghao 6. Chen Ao 5. Jiang Zhe 3. Chen Fangzhou 27. Zu Pengchao 16. Liu Jing 21. Lu Yuefeng 25. Li Chenguang 45. Lu Y. 32. Wang B.	23. Chen J. (G) 2. Huang Jiaqiang 16. Han Xuan 6. Ji Zhengyu 20. Liu Ziheng 5. Zhang Hao 15. Jin Qiang 14. Zeng Chao 10. Liang Xueming 9. Xia Dalong 56. Tang Tianyi
Substitutes
1. Bai S. (G) 9. Gao Mingqi 37. Geng Zhiqing 20. Halimurat Kamiran 2. Hu Yongfa 23. Liao Haochuan 17. Liao Wei 19. Liu Xinyu 22. Tursun Qeyser 46. Wei Z. 51. Yin R. 57. Yu Haozhen	8. Cai Haochang 11. Chen Liming 58. Huang Shenghao 28. Lin Huahuan 17. Liu Chaoyang 33. Liu Jiqiang 27. Wu Xingyu 47. Xiao Jiaqi (G) 29. Xiao Zhi 7. Xu Jiajun 19. Zhang Jinliang 50. Zhou Weijun
Coaches
Teng Renjun	Li B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Liang Xueming 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Zeng Chao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lin Jinghao ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
50', Wang B. 🟨,
54', Jiang Zhe 🟨,
63', Zeng Chao ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
63', Liang Xueming ↓, Xiao Zhi ↑,
74', Zu Pengchao ↓, Tursun Qeyser ↑,
74', Xia Dalong ↓, Liu Chaoyang ↑,
74', Liu Chaoyang 🟨,
77', Han Xuan 🟨,
80', Dong Jianhong 🟨,
82', Chen Ao ↓, Liao Haochuan ↑,
90', Wang B. ↓, Geng Zhiqing ↑,
90+4', Tang Tianyi ↓, Huang Shenghao ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
25.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Hunan Billows	3:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Hunan Billows - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:3 ✺
Chinese Yi League
12.05.24	Hunan Billows - Guangxi Lanhang	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Kunming City - Hunan Billows	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Hunan Billows - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWW
- Guangdong GZ-Power FC
Chinese Yi League
26.05.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Wuxi Wugou	0:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Wenzhou Professional	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shanghai Port B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

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