Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 37

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Hungerford Town		Dartford

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	3.15	3.15	2.1
	2.89	3.48	2.28
	3.4	3.25	2
	2.94	3.3	2.32
	3.05	3.35	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.82)	3.27 ↓ (3.6)	2.19 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
30.3%

Draw
27.9%

Dartford
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.1%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hungerford Town's performance.

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dartford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hungerford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dartford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Hungerford Town - Dartford Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hungerford will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dartford will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dartford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English National League South
04.03.23	Hungerford Town - Welling United	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Worthing - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Cheshunt - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hungerford Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
11.02.23	Hungerford Town - Farsley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWL
- Dartford
English National League South
04.03.23	Weymouth - Dartford	3:1 ✺
25.02.23	Dartford - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
21.02.23	Dartford - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Braintree Town - Dartford	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Dartford - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.10.22	Dartford - Hungerford Town	2:0
22.02.22	Hungerford Town - Dartford	2:1
09.10.21	Dartford - Hungerford Town	1:0
16.01.21	Dartford - Hungerford Town	1:1
28.11.20	Hungerford Town - Dartford	1:2
26.08.19	Hungerford Town - Dartford	2:2
22.12.18	Dartford - Hungerford Town	2:1

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