Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 39

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday


	Braintree Town		Dartford

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.86	3.45	4.47
	1.86	3.38	4.47
	1.81	3.6	4.05
	1.8	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.48)	3.49 ↓ (4.1)	4.12 ↓ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
51%

Draw
26.5%

Dartford
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

21.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braintree Town's form might have worsened.

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dartford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braintree Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dartford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Braintree Town - Dartford Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Braintree will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dartford will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 2.

Braintree is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dartford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braintree could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Braintree is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Braintree to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Braintree won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
09.03.24	Braintree Town - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Welling United - Braintree Town	2:2 ✺
27.02.24	Bath City - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Worthing - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TTWWW
- Dartford
English National League South
09.03.24	Torquay United - Dartford	4:1 ✺
27.02.24	Dartford - Aveley	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Dartford - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Slough Town - Dartford	3:2 ✺
17.02.24	Dover Athletic - Dartford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.11.23	Dartford - Braintree Town	0:2
18.02.23	Braintree Town - Dartford	1:1
05.11.22	Dartford - Braintree Town	4:1
02.05.22	Dartford - Braintree Town	0:1
28.12.21	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:2
09.01.21	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:1
24.08.19	Dartford - Braintree Town	2:1

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