Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 36

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.88	3.35	3.55
	1.83	3.68	3.92
	1.76	3.68	4.25
	1.81	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.45)	3.54 ↑ (3.1)	3.88 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
50.7%

Draw
25.8%

Welling United
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hungerford Town's performance.

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Welling United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hungerford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Welling United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hungerford Town - Welling United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hungerford will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Welling will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 2.

Recent matches Hungerford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Welling is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hungerford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English National League South
25.02.23	Worthing - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Cheshunt - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hungerford Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
11.02.23	Hungerford Town - Farsley	2:3 ✺
English National League South
07.02.23	Hungerford Town - St Albans City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLW
- Welling United
English National League South
28.02.23	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Welling United - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
21.02.23	Welling United - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Slough Town - Welling United	0:3 ✺
11.02.23	Oxford City - Welling United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.10.22	Welling United - Hungerford Town	1:0
30.04.22	Hungerford Town - Welling United	1:2
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Hungerford Town - Welling United	3:2
English National League South
21.08.21	Welling United - Hungerford Town	1:4
18.01.20	Welling United - Hungerford Town	3:2
28.09.19	Hungerford Town - Welling United	1:2
23.02.19	Hungerford Town - Welling United	0:1

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