Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.3
	2.65	3.35	2.32
	2.64	3.46	2.44
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	2.6	3.38	2.53
	2.65	3.35	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.05)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	2.35 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
33.7%

Draw
27.4%

Hemel Hempstead Town
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

26.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hungerford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hemel Hempstead Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hungerford Town - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 1.

Recent matches Hungerford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hemel Hempstead is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hungerford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hungerford have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English FA Trophy
11.02.23	Hungerford Town - Farsley	2:3 ✺
English National League South
07.02.23	Hungerford Town - St Albans City	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	1:3 ✺
31.01.23	Hungerford Town - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hungerford Town - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTT
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
11.02.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Cheshunt - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
31.01.23	Farnborough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	3:2
25.01.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	1:0
09.11.21	Hungerford Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
12.12.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	0:1
03.08.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	4:1
26.01.19	Hungerford Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3
14.08.18	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	0:0

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