Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Huracán Buenos Aires 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.2
	2.13	3.24	3.4
	2.11	3.22	3.31	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.2
	2.09	3.13	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.27)	3.12 ↑ (3)	3.28 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires 2
43.2%

Draw
29.1%

Independiente 2
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

31.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huracán 2 won 2.

Huracán 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independiente 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Huracán 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Huracán 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Huracán 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Independiente 2 - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 29.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Platense 2	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Quilmes 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLTW
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	Independiente 2 - Ferro 2	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Independiente 2	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Independiente 2	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Independiente 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
13.11.25	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2	3:1
31.07.24	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2	1:1
21.02.24	Independiente 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	0:1
04.09.23	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2	2:3
26.06.23	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2	1:2
15.08.22	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2	2:2
06.05.22	Independiente 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	0:4

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