Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 16

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Godoy Cruz

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.8
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.25	3	3.65
	2.11	2.94	3.8
	2.18	2.93	3.88	Watch
	2.2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.75 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
43.4%

Draw
31.5%

Godoy Cruz
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

30.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	30%	25%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Godoy Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huracán: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Huracán has the most likely position - 21 (5.93%), project points - 33, currently - 16, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Godoy Cruz has the most likely position - 11 (6.63%), project points - 37, currently - 22, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, very small importance 0, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Huracán is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Godoy Cruz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Godoy Cruz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Huracán will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Huracán: Acevedo J. (Injury) Soto G. (Injury)

There will not play in Godoy Cruz: Andrada J. (Injury) Ferrari G. (Injury) Ulariaga S. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Huracán won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Huracán won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.05.23	Lanús - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Danubio	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
25.04.23	Tigre - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Emelec - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTWLL
- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.05.23	Godoy Cruz - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
27.04.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Central Córdoba - Godoy Cruz	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Godoy Cruz - Lanús	4:4 ✺
13.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Godoy Cruz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.07.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Godoy Cruz	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.03.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Godoy Cruz	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.08.21	Godoy Cruz - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
27.02.15	Godoy Cruz - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1

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