Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Godoy Cruz

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.7	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.55
	3	2.95	2.65
	3	2.9	2.82
	2.91	2.88	2.73	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	2.88 ↓ (3)	2.68 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
31.9%

Draw
32.8%

Godoy Cruz
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

31.2%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

30.6%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Godoy Cruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	31.2%	18.7%

Arsenal Sarandí - Godoy Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal Sarandí: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 27 and 17).

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (15.8%), project points - 28, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Godoy Cruz has the most likely position - 22 (5.74%), project points - 33, currently - 13, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2.

Arsenal Sarandí is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Godoy Cruz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Godoy Cruz: Ferrari G. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.04.23	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
03.04.23	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWTL
- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.04.23	Godoy Cruz - Tigre	1:1 ✺
30.03.23	Argentinos Juniors - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Godoy Cruz - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	River Plate - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
06.03.23	Godoy Cruz - Racing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.09.22	Godoy Cruz - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.04.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Godoy Cruz	3:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.10.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Godoy Cruz	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.04.21	Godoy Cruz - Arsenal Sarandí	2:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.08.19	Godoy Cruz - Arsenal Sarandí	0:2
09.03.18	Godoy Cruz - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
17.06.17	Arsenal Sarandí - Godoy Cruz	1:2

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