Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	Mola
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	7	Watch
	1.6	3.6	6
	1.46	3.95	6.9	Watch
	1.5	4.12	7.36
	1.62	3.4	6	Watch
	1.53	4.05	6.6	Watch
	1.68	3.35	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	3.81 ↑ (3.3)	6.44 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
60.7%

Draw
24.7%

Once Caldas
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

28%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Huracán Buenos Aires's performance.

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huracán Buenos Aires that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Once Caldas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Huracán (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Huracán Buenos Aires will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Huracán Buenos Aires will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (C) 24. Guidara T. 6. Pereyra F. 30. Paz N. 25. Ibanez C. 5. Perez L. 8. Gil L. 21. Bisanz J. 18. Miljevic M. 16. Cabral R. 23. Gimenez L.	12. Aguirre J. (G) 24. Palacios L. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 18. Riquett J. 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 19. Garcia M. 7. Barrios M. 10. Sanchez L. 20. Garcia Castillo A. 28. Zuleta M. 17. Moreno D. (C)
Substitutes
17. Alanis G. 29. De La Fuente H. 2. Goitea N. 19. Lescano L. 32. Meza S. (G) 41. Mora L. 15. Nervo H. 20. Ojeda E. 43. Ramirez E. 7. Tissera M. 11. Urzi A. 31. Waller Martiarena F. F.	8. Beltran E. 34. Cardona J. 15. Castano J. 6. Diaz J. 9. Gomez P. 3. Malagon J. 35. Parra J. (G) 70. Quinones D. 5. Rojas I. 30. Tamayo K. 29. Valencia Y. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Herrera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Paz N. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Miljevic M. (Pen),
40', 1 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Barrios M. (A),
45', Bisanz J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cabral R. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
51', Kudelka F. 🟨,
60', Paz N. ↓, Nervo H. ↑,
61', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Barrios M. ⚽, Sanchez L. (A),
73', Miljevic M. 🟥,
75', Zuleta M. 🟨,
75', Ibanez C. 🟨,
79', Ibanez C. ↓, Urzi A. ↑,
79', Zuleta M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
79', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
84', Barrios M. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
85', Gomez P. 🟨,
88', Guidara T. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Moreno D. ⚽, Zapata Ramirez J. A. (A),
90+7', Aguirre J. 🟨,
90+7', Gimenez L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Huracán is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Huracán won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.25	Once Caldas - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.25	Tigre - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.08.25	Lanús - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLW
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
15.08.25	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.25	Once Caldas - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
09.08.25	Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
30.07.25	Once Caldas - Patriotas	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
12.08.25	Once Caldas - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0

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