Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Valledupar		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.88	Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.8
	2.58	2.92	2.92	Watch
	2.65	3	3.01
	2.58	3	2.92	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.59	2.99	2.86	Watch
	2.66	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.48)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	2.89 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
36.2%

Draw
31.6%

Once Caldas
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Alianza (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wallens J. (G) 26. Lasso J. 23. Viveros J. 5. Franco P. (C) 24. Banguero E. 15. Esparragoza C. 7. Castillo J. 17. Pardo F. 10. Fernandez W. 8. Munoz J. 19. Fiorelli F.	99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 18. Riquett J. 2. Cardona J. 42. Quinones J. 15. Alvarado J. 8. Beltran J. 28. Zuleta M. 17. Moreno D. (C) 7. Barrios M.
Substitutes
12. Chaverra J. (G) 22. Figueroa J. 21. Hinojosa J. 29. Lucumi C. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 4. Perez E. 20. Valencia L. 30. Valoyes J. 14. Villegas C.	12. Aguirre J. (G) 16. Castano J. 9. Gomez P. 4. Navarro E. 70. Quinones D. 5. Rojas I. 19. Rojas T. 27. Villada K. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Coaches
Bodhert H.	Herrera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Fiorelli F. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
52', Pardo F. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Villegas C. ⚽,
61', Lucumi C. 🟨,
66', Barrios M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
66', Riquett J. ↓, Navarro E. ↑,
66', Quinones J. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
70', Fernandez W. 🟨,
76', Moreno D. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
81', Lucumi C. 🟨,
83', Lasso J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
83', Fernandez W. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
86', Figueroa J. 🟨,
87', Castillo J. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
90+6', Munoz J. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.

Once Caldas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16
15	Alianza	13	3	3	7	14:26	-12	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
01.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
28.01.26	Alianza Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
13.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
01.02.26	Once Caldas - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	América de Cali - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
19.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.26	América de Cali - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
15.08.25	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	0:0
02.03.25	Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar	1:2
05.10.24	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	1:0
25.03.24	Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0
25.09.23	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	2:1
18.04.23	Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar	1:2
23.10.22	Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar	1:1

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