Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Huracán Paso de la Arena

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.30	3.30
	1.93	3.30	3.45
	1.93	3.52	3.77
	1.41	4.66	6.52	Watch
	1.87	3.45	3.70
	1.88	3.38	3.66
	1.93	3.30	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.93)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	3.96 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
50.5%

Draw
26.1%

Huracán Paso de la Arena
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fenix will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Huracán will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Pereira G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fenix is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fenix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWT
- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Plaza Colonia - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - La Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1

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