Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)


	Rentistas		Paysandú

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.30	4.10
	1.78	3.35	4.00
	1.80	3.56	4.54
	1.84	3.38	4.19	Watch
	1.74	3.50	4.25
	1.73	3.40	4.38	Watch
	1.74	3.30	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	4.22 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
51.6%

Draw
26.8%

Paysandú
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rentistas's performance.

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Rentistas - Paysandú Predictions

Users Predictions: Rentistas will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Sequeira H. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Gomez Silvera J. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 🟥,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

In recent matches, Rentistas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paysandú is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rentistas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rentistas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Last Results with these Odds

Rentistas - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.98%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
06.06.26	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLT
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.06.26	Paysandú - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Tacuarembó - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Paysandú - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	La Luz - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Paysandú - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.04.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	0:1

Rentistas - Paysandú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide