Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 13

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Uruguay Montevideo		Paysandú

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.10	2.60
	2.45	3.05	2.62
	2.59	3.16	2.72
	2.56	3.24	2.71	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65
	2.41	3.16	2.62
	2.44	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.71)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	2.65 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
36.6%

Draw
29.1%

Paysandú
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Uruguay Montevideo - Paysandú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8).

Uruguay Montevideo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paysandú is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Paysandú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTLW
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.08.26	Paysandú - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Paysandú	2:3 ✺
13.07.26	Paysandú - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Rentistas - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandú - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWWWL

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