Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Paysandú		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.00	1.90
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.74	3.14	1.97
	3.8	3.27	1.98	Watch
	3.65	3.05	1.93
	3.7	3.14	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.00	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.5)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandú
24.4%

Draw
29.1%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.5%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.7%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Paysandú - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Atletico Fenix Montevideo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Lopez L. ⚽,
83', Gonzalez J. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Fenix could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.07.26	Rentistas - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandú - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Tacuarembó - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Paysandú - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	La Luz - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLW
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTTW

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