Match Info

Division 2 - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Hutnik		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.68	Watch
	2.48	3.14	2.8
	2.55	3.05	2.86	Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.7
	2.4	3.08	2.7	Watch
	2.29	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.29)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.74 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
37.4%

Draw
29.6%

Podhale Nowy Targ
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Hutnik - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wroblewski K. (G) 14. Bracik K. 5. Burka D. 2. Galazka A. 13. Gandziarowski M. 8. Jopek S. 4. Kedziora L. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 10. Sowinski M. 43. Zawada O.	1. Styrczula M. (G) 25. Burkiewicz A. 99. Giel P. 87. Kurzeja B. 42. Lipien M. 19. Michota M. 23. Mikolajczyk B. 11. Purcha B. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L. 21. Vosko P.
Substitutes
18. Basse A. 16. Bil S. 47. Galek I. 96. Guerrier W. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 79. Kopyscianski K. 37. Motrycz A. 33. Nowak W. (G) 21. Szablowski K.	20. Chojecki A. 77. Cielemecki R. 33. Fratczak D. (G) 14. Hamed M. 30. Kumorek M. 29. Marcinho 27. Pena C. 16. Rubis J. 8. Vaclavik R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Prusinski K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lipien M. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
46', Giel P. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
62', Gandziarowski M. ↓, Guerrier W. ↑,
62', Kedziora L. 🟨,
63', Purcha B. 🟨,
65', Purcha B. ↓, Vaclavik R. ↑,
65', Mikolajczyk B. ↓, Chojecki A. ↑,
67', Burkiewicz A. 🟨,
67', Galazka A. 🟨,
69', Vosko P. 🟨,
70', Kedziora L. ↓, Hoyo-Kowalski D. ↑,
70', Prusinski K. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
78', Seweryn L. ↓, Rubis J. ↑,
83', Zawada O. ↓, Galek I. ↑,
83', Sowinski M. ↓, Bil S. ↑,
89', Rubis J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Hutnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hutnik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Podhale Nowy Targ: 3.26% Hutnik Krakow: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20:18	2	17
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16:13	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
10.05.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Hutnik	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Hutnik - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Swit Skolwin - Hutnik	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Hutnik - Sokół Kleczew	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTWW
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
09.05.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sokół Kleczew	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.11.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	1:0
Club Friendly
29.01.25	Hutnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:3
17.07.22	Hutnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:1
12.02.22	Hutnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1
10.07.21	Hutnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:2
30.01.21	Hutnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.11.19	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	1:2

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