Match Info

Division 2 - Round 33

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)


	Hutnik		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3
	1.99	4	2.85	Watch
	2.06	4.68	2.81
	2.02	4.48	2.88	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.25
	1.97	4.2	2.83	Watch
	1.99	4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.91)	4.1 ↑ (3.6)	2.92 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
46.3%

Draw
22.3%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

24.6%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hutnik's performance.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hutnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hutnik - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Grodzisk Mazowiecki (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 10. Glogowski K. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 76. Kielis P. 77. Kuzimski M. 24. Semik K. 11. Slomka W. 22. Sowinski M. 6. Urbanczyk M. 27. Wilak F. 20. Zieba M.	98. Szpaderski J. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 2. Farbiszewski B. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 13. Lis J. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.
Substitutes
9. Belych Y. 1. Fratczak D. (G) . Galek I. . Kopyscianski K. 8. Misak P. 37. Motrycz A. 19. Rzepka K. 21. Szablowski K. 23. Tomal J.	8. Bahonko E. 11. Dziegielewski D. . Gajgier 4. Korczakowski I. 17. Niewiadomski J. 6. Skowronski G. 1. Sydorenko D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Farbiszewski B. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Slomka W. ⚽,
30', Lis J. 🟨,
42', Zieba M. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Kielis P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Kielis P. 🟨,
59', 3 - 0, Kielis P. ⚽,
61', Niski N. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
61', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Bahonko E. ↑,
61', Dias M. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
61', Jaron D. ↓, Dziegielewski D. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Odolak K. ⚽,
73', 3 - 2, Lis J. (Pen),
74', 🟨,
75', Kuzimski M. ↓, Motrycz A. ↑,
75', Wilak F. ↓, Belych Y. ↑,
75', Slomka W. ↓, Rzepka K. ↑,
79', Farbiszewski B. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
83', 4 - 2, Belych Y. ⚽,
88', Semik K. ↓, Szablowski K. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is Qualified for Division 1

Recent performances by Hutnik have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hutnik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hutnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
24.05.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	0:5 ✺
17.05.25	Hutnik - Polonia Bytom	3:5 ✺
11.05.25	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
24.05.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	4:0 ✺
10.05.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.11.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Hutnik	1:1
26.03.22	Hutnik - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0
11.09.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Hutnik	2:1

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