Match Info

Division 2 - Round 32

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4	4.6
	1.62	3.95	4.3	Watch
	1.6	4.17	4.74
	1.64	4.11	4.7	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.6
	1.7	4	4.32	Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	3.98 ↑ (3.85)	4.51 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
56.6%

Draw
23%

KKS Kalisz
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

25%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Szpaderski J. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 2. Farbiszewski B. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 4. Korczakowski I. 13. Lis J. 17. Niewiadomski J. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.	1. Krakowiak M. (C) 8. Andruszko M. 6. Cierpka A. 3. Gawlik M. 24. Glaz J. 10. Gordillo N. 20. Janiak K. 16. Putno B. 42. Smolinski W. 5. Staszak J. 4. Wypych M.
Substitutes
8. Bahonko E. 11. Dziegielewski D. 24. Gulczynski G. 14. Karolak P. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 6. Skowronski G. 1. Sydorenko D. (G) 19. Urbanski P.	71. Banasiak P. 23. Bialczyk M. 12. Ciolek M. (G) 9. Flisiuk K. 17. Mocny P. 26. Mos B. 15. Staszak W. 77. Toporkiewicz K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', Jaron D. ↓, Dziegielewski D. ↑,
72', Lis J. ↓, Gulczynski G. ↑,
75', Staszak J. ↓, Mocny P. ↑,
75', Glaz J. ↓, Toporkiewicz K. ↑,
75', Niewiadomski J. ↓, Urbanski P. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Flisiuk K. ⚽,
82', Korczakowski I. ↓, Karolak P. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is Qualified for Division 1

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KKS Kalisz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
19.05.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	4:0 ✺
10.05.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLTL
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
17.05.25	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Bytom	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	KKS Kalisz - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
26.10.24	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2
14.05.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - KKS Kalisz	0:2
06.11.21	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:0

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