Match Info

Division 2 - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Hutnik		Sandecja Nowy Sącz

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.45	3.35	2.48	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.31
	2.63	3.18	2.63	Watch
	2.48	3.42	2.42	Watch
	2.05	3.7	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.42)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	2.53 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
36.8%

Draw
27%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

31%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Hutnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 14. Bracik K. 5. Burka D. 13. Gandziarowski M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 24. Semik K. 9. Sliwa D. 11. Slomka W. 6. Urbanczyk M.	71. Jelen M. (G) 47. Blyszko W. 19. Kolbon T. 17. Nawotka T. 98. Ogorzaly K. 92. Orzel A. 99. Oure S. 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 74. Skalecki P. 24. Slaby K. (C) 11. Talar K.
Substitutes
. Galek I. . Holuj F. . Jopek S. . Kopyscianski K. . Motrycz A. . Rzepka K. . Sowinski M. . Szablowski K. . Zagrodnik J. (G)	29. Brenkus A. 78. Gorski J. 33. Kasprzak B. 9. Klos W. 25. Piszczek F. 91. Polacek M. (G) 16. Smajdor K. 7. Wolsztynski R. 77. Zietek L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Hoyo-Kowalski D. 🟨,
39', Pietraszkiewicz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Slaby K. ↓, Kasprzak B. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Burka D. ⚽,
53', Sliwa D. ↓, Sowinski M. ↑,
63', Ogorzaly K. ↓, Wolsztynski R. ↑,
63', Orzel A. ↓, Zietek L. ↑,
72', Nawotka T. ↓, Brenkus A. ↑,
73', Kolbon T. ↓, Smajdor K. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Wolsztynski R. ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, Prusinski K. ⚽,
80', Semik K. ↓, Rzepka K. ↑,
80', Gandziarowski M. ↓, Motrycz A. ↑,
88', Motrycz A. 🟨,
88', Blyszko W. 🟨,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Hutnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hutnik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Hutnik - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.26%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
17.08.25	KKS Kalisz - Hutnik	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Hutnik - Resovia Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
02.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Hutnik - ŁKS Łódź II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTW
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 2
15.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Swit Skolwin	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.25	Hutnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1
21.06.24	Hutnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:3
Polish Division 2
20.04.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Hutnik	0:1
07.10.23	Hutnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2

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