Match Info

K League 2 - Round 17

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.39	4.68	8.86
				Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.34	4.5	8.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)	4.36 ↓ (4.93)	8.19 ↓ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Incheon United
67.7%

Draw
21.1%

Hwaseong
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.9%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

17.7%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Incheon United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Incheon United - Hwaseong Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Incheon (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Incheon United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 4. Kim Gun-Hee 23. Park Kyung-sub 32. Lee Ju-Yong (C) 11. Gerso 6. Mun Ji-Hwan 13. Choi Seung-gu 14. Barrow M. 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho	1. Kim S. (G) 17. Lim C. 15. Vojnovic A. 44. Ham Sun-Woo 3. Cho Dong-Jae 16. Choi Myung-Hee 6. Choi Jun-Hyeok (C) 53. Dimitri 2. Kim D. 41. Kim Byung-Oh 9. Park Ju-yeong
Substitutes
20. Delbridge H. 27. Kim Bo-Sub 97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 17. Kim Seong-Min 3. Lee Sang-Gi 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho	27. Baek Seung-Woo 8. Jeon S. 13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 10. Luan Costa 20. Park Jun-seo 5. Woo J. 4. Yeon Jei-Min
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Cha Du-Ri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Cho Dong-Jae 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Gerso ⚽,
42', Choi Jun-Hyeok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Lim C. ↓, Park Jun-seo ↑,
60', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
62', Dimitri ↓, Jeon S. ↑,
62', Park Ju-yeong ↓, Luan Costa ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Mugosa S. ⚽, Gerso (A),
70', Vojnovic A. 🟨,
71', Mugosa S. (Pen),
72', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Woo J. ↑,
72', Choi Jun-Hyeok ↓, Baek Seung-Woo ↑,
77', Mun Ji-Hwan 🟨,
79', Kim Myung-Sun ↓, Lee Sang-Gi ↑,
79', Choi Seung-gu ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
85', Mugosa S. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
85', Gerso ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
90+3', Luan Costa 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 12).

Incheon has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hwaseong's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Incheon is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Incheon will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Incheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
15.06.25	Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Incheon United - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Cheonan City - Incheon United	3:3 ✺
25.05.25	Incheon United - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Ansan Greeners - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWW
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
15.06.25	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Gyeongnam - Hwaseong	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	Hwaseong - Seoul E-Land	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Bucheon - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
05.04.25	Hwaseong - Incheon United	0:1

Upcoming Matches