Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 6

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Hwaseong		Pocheon

	1	X	2
	1.47	4	6	Watch
	1.51	4.05	6.33
	1.52	4.04	6.33
	1.48	4.01	6.4
	1.49	3.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	4.01 ↓ (4.05)	6.13 ↓ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
61.9%

Draw
23.1%

Pocheon
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

23.1%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pocheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Lee J. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Hong Seok-Hwan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 2, Costa L. ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, Kim Dong-uk (Pen),
89', 1 - 4, Lee J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10).

Recent matches Hwaseong is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pocheon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pocheon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hwaseong is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hwaseong won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hwaseong won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean Cup
17.04.24	Gangwon - Hwaseong	3:1 ET ✺
South Korean K3 League
14.04.24	Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Daejeon Korail - Hwaseong	3:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
24.03.24	Hwaseong - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
13.04.24	Pocheon - Changwon City	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Gangneung - Pocheon	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Pocheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.24	Pocheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:3 ✺
South Korean K3 League
16.03.24	Chuncheon - Pocheon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
21.10.23	Hwaseong - Pocheon	0:0
27.05.23	Pocheon - Hwaseong	1:3
21.08.22	Hwaseong - Pocheon	1:2
23.04.22	Pocheon - Hwaseong	1:1

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