Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 5

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Busan Kyotong		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.83	Watch
	4.17	3.45	1.81	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.92)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
22.4%

Draw
27%

Hwaseong
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.5%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.6%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Busan Kyotong has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hwaseong is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hwaseong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hwaseong have a series of home games.

In this match Hwaseong is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hwaseong to win the game is with odds 1.86.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Busan Kyotong won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Busan Kyotong won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
07.04.24	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	0:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
24.03.24	Bucheon - Busan Kyotong	2:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
17.03.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Busan Kyotong	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Busan Kyotong - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
07.04.24	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Daejeon Korail - Hwaseong	3:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
24.03.24	Hwaseong - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
16.03.24	Hwaseong - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Hwaseong - Daegu 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
09.09.23	Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong	1:1
14.05.23	Hwaseong - Busan Kyotong	2:1
03.07.22	Hwaseong - Busan Kyotong	1:1
19.03.22	Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong	2:2
26.06.21	Hwaseong - Busan Kyotong	1:2

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