Match Info

K League 2 - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Hwaseong		Suwon

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.18
	3.42	3.36	2.24
	3.32	3.28	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.23	3.15	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)	3.2 ↑ (3.07)	2.17 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
28.7%

Draw
28.8%

Suwon
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

30.1%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Hwaseong - Suwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Suwon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 15. Vojnovic A. 4. Jang Min-jun 22. Kim D. 13. Park Jae-Seong 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 10. Demethryus	13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 27. Lee S. 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 3. Derlan 22. Seo Jae-Min 8. Han Chan-Hee (C) 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 29. Choi Gi-Yun 10. Matheus Frizzo 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 99. Ha Jeong-woo
Substitutes
3. Cho Dong-Jae 44. Ham Sun-Woo 7. Jegal Jae-Min 8. Jeon S. 6. Kim Jung-Min 38. Park E. (G) 9. Petrov S. 19. Woo J. 5. Yang Si-Hoo	26. Ahn Jun-gyu 77. Baek Kyeong 25. Jang Young-Woo 16. Jo Jin-Woo 70. Jung Seung-Bae 91. Kim Do-Yoon 7. Lee Jae-Won 20. Lee Ji-Sol 21. Yang Han-Been (G)
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Park Kun-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Lee S. 🟨,
18', Goo Bon-Cheul 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Park Jae-Seong ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Demethryus ↓, Woo J. ↑,
58', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Jegal Jae-Min ↑,
60', Goo Bon-Cheul ↓, Lee Jae-Won ↑,
60', Kim Jeong-Hwan ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
60', Lee Jong-Sung 🟨,
70', Choi Gi-Yun ↓, Kim Do-Yoon ↑,
70', Derlan ↓, Jo Jin-Woo ↑,
74', Park Jun-seo 🟨,
77', Park Jun-seo ↓, Cho Dong-Jae ↑,
77', Park Kyung-Min ↓, Yang Si-Hoo ↑,
77', Jang Min-jun 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Matheus Frizzo ⚽,
90', Lee Jong-Sung ↓, Jeon S. ↑,
90', Lee S. ↓, Jang Young-Woo ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

Hwaseong is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Suwon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Hwaseong has had a series of home games.

Suwon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50:29	21	48
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44

Last Results with these Odds

Suwon - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.24%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Seoul E-Land - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Hwaseong - Gimpo	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hwaseong - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Hwaseong - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWTWL
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Suwon - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Suwon - Daegu	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Seoul E-Land - Suwon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLTL

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