Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Hyde United		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.8
	3.78	3.78	1.8
	3.83	3.88	1.82	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.75
	4	3.58	1.75
	3.75	3.66	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (3.88)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hyde United
23.9%

Draw
25.1%

Hednesford Town
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

25.9%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24.9%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hyde United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hyde United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Hyde United - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Owolabi T. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Owolabi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Parkinson K. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Redshaw J. ⚽,
71', 5 - 0, Gabidon D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Hyde has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hednesford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hyde may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hednesford is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hyde won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hyde won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hyde	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hyde United
English NPL Premier Division
07.02.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Lancaster City - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hyde United - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Hyde United - Rushall Olympic	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Leek Town - Hyde United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTLT
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.02.26	Hednesford Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Hednesford Town - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Hednesford Town - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Stockton Town - Hednesford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.11.25	Hednesford Town - Hyde United	2:1
26.02.19	Hednesford Town - Hyde United	1:0
17.11.18	Hyde United - Hednesford Town	2:0
English National League North
11.10.14	Hednesford Town - Hyde United	4:1
09.09.14	Hyde United - Hednesford Town	0:1

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