Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Stockton Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.2	2.58
	2.52	3.62	2.52	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.6
	2.23	3.32	2.84
	2.25	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.48)	3.31 ↓ (3.41)	2.69 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
38.8%

Draw
27.4%

Hednesford Town
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Stockton Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockton Town (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 0, Coulthard T. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Sterling-James O. ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Stockton Town is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hednesford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hednesford could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stockton Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.26	Morpeth Town - Stockton Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Workington - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Stockton Town - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTT
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.26	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Hednesford Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Warrington Town - Hednesford Town	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Ilkeston - Hednesford Town	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Hednesford Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.10.25	Hednesford Town - Stockton Town	1:2

Upcoming Matches