Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hednesford Town		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.85	5.15
	1.47	4.68	5.11
	1.6	4.45	4.55	Watch
	1.4	4	5
	1.62	4	5
	1.5	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	4.25 ↓ (4.36)	4.97 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
60.1%

Draw
21.5%

Leek Town
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

20.4%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hednesford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Hednesford Town - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Harrison O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hednesford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hednesford has had a series of away games.

Recently, Leek has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hednesford is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hednesford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Leek	14	3	5	6	29:31	-2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
17.01.26	Stockton Town - Hednesford Town	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Hednesford Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Warrington Town - Hednesford Town	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Ilkeston - Hednesford Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTTW
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
20.01.26	Leek Town - Hyde United	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Leek Town - Cleethorpes Town	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Leek Town - United of Manchester	0:1 ✺
01.01.26	Warrington Town - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Leek Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.09.25	Leek Town - Hednesford Town	0:2

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