Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Bravida Arena (Gothenburg)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)


	Häcken		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.5	4.6	5.75
	1.5	4.5	6.2
	1.53	4.5	5.5
	1.54	4.61	5.83
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.6	5.7
	1.52	4.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	4.52 ↑ (4.45)	5.69 ↓ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
62.6%

Draw
20.8%

Žalgiris
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.2%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Häcken - Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: Häcken will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Abrahamsson P. (G) 13. Sandberg S. 3. Hammar J. 5. Hovland E. 25. Lund K. 18. Rygaard M. 11. Gustafson S. (C) 27. Romeo A. 37. Sadiq I. 19. Hrstic S. 24. Layouni A.	1. Gertmonas E. (C) 3. Pavelic M. 31. Vucur S. 26. Hnid N. 7. Bopesu J. 18. Novikovas A. 71. Kendysh Y. 5. Gorobsov N. 10. Golubickas P. 9. Kazlauskas D. 99. Oyewusi M.
Substitutes
30. Banozic S. (G) 1. Brattberg J. (G) 39. Brusberg I. 16. Dahbo P. 33. Dembe J. 12. Fridriksson V. 15. Hodzic K. 22. Sana T. 23. Sonko M. L. 4. Tebo Uchenna F. 21. Totland T. 10. Youssef A.	80. Antal L. 15. Buff O. 25. Duka T. (G) 2. Fofana A. 23. Jansonas R. 8. Karashima Y. 4. Kazukolovas K. 12. Mamic P. 13. Mikoliunas S. 33. Milickovic M. 22. Verbickas O.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Cheburin V.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.

Häcken is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Žalgiris is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Häcken could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Häcken is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Häcken won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.08.23	Häcken - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Žalgiris - Häcken	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Häcken - KÍ Klaksvík	3:4 penalties ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.07.23	Häcken - Elfsborg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.23	KÍ Klaksvík - Häcken	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWT
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.08.23	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Žalgiris - Häcken	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.08.23	FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Galatasaray - Žalgiris	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.07.23	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Žalgiris - Häcken	1:3

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