Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	Hércules		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.8	1.52
	5.69	4.04	1.54
	4.5	3.86	1.7	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.53
	5.82	3.74	1.51
	5.33	3.8	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↓ (6.89)	3.82 ↓ (4.47)	1.55 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
17.2%

Draw
23.9%

Alianza San Miguel
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

20.5%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

19.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hércules - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hércules will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hércules (3.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Hércules (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hércules (9.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hércules will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Hércules (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Souza G. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Duenas E. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, Duenas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 4, Steib M. ⚽,
71', Rivas W. 🟥,
87', 1 - 4, Vasquez Guillen L. E. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Alianza is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alianza FC	12	4	6	2	19:17	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hércules
El Salvador Primera Division
04.02.26	Zacatecoluca - Hércules	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Hércules - Municipal Limeño	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Águila - Hércules	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Hércules - CD FAS	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Hércules	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLT
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
04.02.26	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Alianza San Miguel	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Alianza San Miguel - Inter FA	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:3 ✺
21.01.26	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
18.10.25	Alianza San Miguel - Hércules	0:1
16.08.25	Hércules - Alianza San Miguel	2:5

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