Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 20

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Hércules B		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.65	3.1
	2.35	2.55	3
	2.1	2.77	3.74
	2.6	2.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.99)	2.67 (2.67)	3.19 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules B
38.1%

Draw
33.7%

Castellon B
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

32.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules B's form might have worsened.

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules B than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hércules B - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Castellon B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hércules B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hércules B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.02.23	Rayo Ibense - Hércules B	4:0 ✺
29.01.23	Hércules B - Roda	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Elche Ilicitano - Hércules B	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Hércules B - Español de San Vicente	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Hércules B - Acero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTTW
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.02.23	Castellon B - Villarreal C	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Atzeneta - Castellon B	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Castellon B - Gandía	2:3 ✺
14.01.23	Patacona - Castellon B	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Castellon B - Levante B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.10.22	Castellon B - Hércules B	2:1
02.04.22	Hércules B - Castellon B	0:1
28.11.21	Castellon B - Hércules B	2:2

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