Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 23

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Héroes de Zaci		Celaya

	1	X	2
	3.69	3.49	1.78
	3.81	3.66	1.81	Watch
	3.7	3.25	1.85
	3.74	3.5	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.7)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Héroes de Zaci
24.3%

Draw
26.1%

Celaya
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

25.9%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Héroes de Zaci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Héroes de Zaci than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Héroes de Zaci - Celaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celaya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Celaya (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Celaya (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Héroes de Zaci is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celaya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celaya is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Héroes de Zaci won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Héroes de Zaci
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.03.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Héroes de Zaci	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Héroes de Zaci - Racing de Veracruz	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Héroes de Zaci	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Héroes de Zaci - Deportiva Venados	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	Héroes de Zaci - Dragones Toluca	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.03.26	Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Racing de Veracruz - Celaya	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Deportiva Venados - Celaya	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Celaya - Neza	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Celaya - Héroes de Zaci	4:0

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