Match Info

FINLAND: Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball app


	IFK Mariehamn		Ekenäs

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.9	4.8
	1.63	4.33	5	Watch
	1.64	4.25	5.29
	1.63	4.13	5.11	Watch
	1.55	4	4.8
	1.66	4.1	4.84	Watch
	1.63	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	4.14 ↑ (3.97)	5.01 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Mariehamn
58.3%

Draw
22.8%

Ekenäs
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

IFK Mariehamn - Ekenäs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Riikonen M. (G) 25. Wallius K. 22. Machado P. 14. Fonsell M. 33. Enqvist D. 20. Patut E. 17. Sid R. (C) 8. Dahlstrom S. 77. Cardoso H. 7. Larsson A. 11. Reid J.	1. Ramilson (G) 2. Lehtonen J. 24. Gyamfi K. 6. Hjertstrand C. B. 8. Adu E. (C) 25. Gottberg J. 16. Owusu F. 14. Lindholm S. 22. Mohammed N. 9. Ojala S. 7. Pietsalo R.
Substitutes
19. Amadou Sabo M. 43. Andersson L. 4. Auvinen E. 28. Nissinen J. 97. Nordqvist M. (G) 10. Ojala M. 18. Olawale M.	31. Efimov S. 73. Fofana T. 19. Hedstrom J. D. E. 77. Koponen J. (G) 30. Pallas E. 11. Puro E. 18. Sivonen A.
Coaches
Williams G.	Sund C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Machado P. 🟨,
39', Owusu F. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Larsson A. ⚽, Dahlstrom S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Owusu F. 🟨,
59', Lindholm S. ↓, Fofana T. ↑,
59', Adu E. ↓, Sivonen A. ↑,
59', Pietsalo R. ↓, Puro E. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Dahlstrom S. ⚽, Larsson A. (A),
68', Fonsell M. ↓, Auvinen E. ↑,
68', Sid R. ↓, Amadou Sabo M. ↑,
71', Ojala S. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
76', Cardoso H. ↓, Olawale M. ↑,
76', Patut E. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
82', Wallius K. 🟨,
85', Larsson A. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Olawale M. ⚽, Ojala M. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 3.

Mariehamn is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches EIF is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mariehamn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mariehamn have a series of guest games.

In this match Mariehamn is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariehamn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.09.24	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	IFK Mariehamn - Oulu	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn	3:0 ✺
21.08.24	Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.09.24	Ekenäs - Gnistan	3:1 ✺
13.09.24	Inter Turku - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Ekenäs - SJK	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ilves - Ekenäs	5:0 ✺
18.08.24	Ekenäs - HJK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.06.24	Ekenäs - IFK Mariehamn	1:2
06.04.24	IFK Mariehamn - Ekenäs	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
17.02.24	IFK Mariehamn - Ekenäs	1:2
Club Friendly
30.01.21	IFK Mariehamn - Ekenäs	3:0
Finnish Cup
02.03.18	Ekenäs - IFK Mariehamn	1:0
18.02.17	Ekenäs - IFK Mariehamn	0:1

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