Match Info

FINLAND: Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Tammisaari Keskuskenttä (Raseborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball app


	Ekenäs		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4.4	1.51
	6	4.75	1.52	Watch
	5.92	4.7	1.52
	5.52	4.6	1.54	Watch
	5.5	4.4	1.44
	5.45	4.6	1.54	Watch
	5.4	4.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (4.95)	4.56 ↑ (4.29)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
16.9%

Draw
20.7%

Gnistan
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

22.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Ekenäs - Gnistan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramilson (G) 3. Vehkonen V. 2. Lehtonen J. 24. Gyamfi K. 6. Hjertstrand C. B. 8. Adu E. (C) 16. Owusu F. 14. Lindholm S. 22. Mohammed N. 7. Pietsalo R. 9. Ojala S.	1. Marcucci A. (G) 22. Raitala J. (C) 40. Ojala J. 4. Pettersson O. 3. Heiskanen S. 28. Kabashi A. 26. Eremenko R. 19. Hanninen V. 2. Aijala E. 7. Vayrynen T. 10. Latonen J.
Substitutes
25. Gottberg J. 19. Hedstrom J. D. E. 77. Koponen J. (G) 20. Lundstrom N. 30. Pallas E. 11. Puro E. 18. Sivonen A.	9. Enkerud J. 15. Europaeus G. 45. Koski J. (G) 23. Liikonen K. 14. Olander H. 5. Takamaki T. 31. Tatar B.
Coaches
Sund C.	Leppalahti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Ojala S. ⚽, Owusu F. (A),
16', Pettersson O. 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Adu E. ⚽, Ojala S. (A),
21', Da rosa F. 🟨,
29', Vehkonen V. 🟨,
31', Raitala J. 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, Eremenko R. ⚽, Latonen J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kabashi A. ↓, Tatar B. ↑,
46', Aijala E. ↓, Europaeus G. ↑,
46', 3 - 1, Lindholm S. ⚽, Ojala S. (A),
48', Hjertstrand C. B. 🟨,
59', Lindholm S. 🟨,
61', Pietsalo R. ↓, Hedstrom J. D. E. ↑,
68', Ojala J. 🟨,
72', Ojala S. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
72', Latonen J. ↓, Enkerud J. ↑,
72', Ojala J. ↓, Olander H. ↑,
73', Gyamfi K. 🟨,
78', Heiskanen S. ↓, Liikonen K. ↑,
81', Adu E. ↓, Puro E. ↑,
82', Lindholm S. ↓, Sivonen A. ↑,
87', Owusu F. 🟨,
90+6', Enkerud J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches EIF won 2.

EIF is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gnistan is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

EIF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gnistan have a series of home games.

In this match Gnistan is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches EIF won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-26.

Including matches at home between the teams EIF won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.09.24	Inter Turku - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Ekenäs - SJK	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ilves - Ekenäs	5:0 ✺
18.08.24	Ekenäs - HJK	0:3 ✺
09.08.24	Lahti - Ekenäs	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTLLL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
15.09.24	Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Gnistan - Ilves	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	SJK - Gnistan	0:1 ✺
21.08.24	Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Gnistan - Oulu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.06.24	Gnistan - Ekenäs	1:2
08.06.24	Ekenäs - Gnistan	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
24.02.24	Ekenäs - Gnistan	2:5
Club Friendly
20.01.24	Gnistan - Ekenäs	1:1
Finnish Ykkonen
07.10.23	Ekenäs - Gnistan	3:3
15.07.23	Ekenäs - Gnistan	1:0
07.05.23	Gnistan - Ekenäs	0:0

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