The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IFK Mariehamn 15.9%
Draw 21.1%
Oulu 63%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.3%
23.8%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
21.3%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oulu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oulu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - over (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Oulu will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lund K. (G) 28. Nissinen J. 5. Koivisto T. 19. Gyamfi F. 3. Soiniemi A. 20. Patut E. 8. Heyden J. 11. Svedberg J. (C) 22. Monteiro R. 7. Larsson A. 18. Stroud A.
13. Santos M. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 3. Lietsa A. 66. Pirinen J. 18. Cassama A. 8. Ojala M. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 21. Mendolin I. 22. Kaukua T. 11. Ghezali L. 27. Kallio E.
Substitutes
43. Andersson L. 14. Bergvik A. 16. Huttunen A. 64. Hyvonen M. 31. Ngulube S. 9. Nunez W. 2. Nurmi N. 32. Riikonen M. (G) 23. Widlund V.
14. Jokelainen N. 32. Kone A. 40. Korhonen J. 5. Pitkanen M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.
Coaches
Bjorknesjo R.
Isokangas M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Larsson A. ⚽, Stroud A. (A),
36', Kemppainen O. 🟨,
38', Larsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kemppainen O. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
52', Soiniemi A. 🟨,
55', Ojala M. 🟨,
64', Ojala M. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
74', Stroud A. ↓, Widlund V. ↑,
75', Mendolin I. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Kallio E. ⚽, Kone A. (A),
88', Pirinen J. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
Mariehamn is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3.
Mariehamn has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Oulu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Oulu is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Mariehamn: Dosis N.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Oulu: Jatta K.
(Red Card)
Paananen J.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now
AC Oulu: 0.56%
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
AC Oulu
26
11
4
11
27:29
-2
37
Last Results with these Odds
IFK Mariehamn - the odds 4.79 are the expected chance of winning is 19.26%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Usa
World
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Lund K. (G) 
Nissinen J. 
Gyamfi F. 
Heyden J. 
Monteiro R. 
Cassama A. 
Ghezali L. 
Ngulube S. 
Kone A. 
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