Match Info

Division 1 - Round 20

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: ÍR-völlur (Reykjavík)


	IR Reykjavik		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.7
	2.34	3.65	2.4
	2.38	3.98	2.59
	2.42	3.60	2.61	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.33	3.6	2.48	Watch
	1.96	3.5	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.14)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	2.6 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IR Reykjavik
40.3%

Draw
24.9%

Keflavík
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.3%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

24.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IR Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IR Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

IR Reykjavik - Keflavík Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Keflavík (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keflavík (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sigurjonsson V. (G) 3. Baldursson B. 7. Bjarkason O. 4. Gunnarsson S. 9. Helgason B. 15. Hlynsson O. 23. Kristinsson A. 6. Marteinsson K. 13. McAusland M. (C) 30. Punyed R. 16. Sigurhjartarson E.	21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 18. Bjarnason E. 20. Brigic M. 27. Gautason V. 4. Heras N. 3. Johannesson A. 10. Ljubicic S. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 7. Sigfusson K.
Substitutes
17. Einarsson O. 18. Gislason G. 22. Ingolfsson J. 14. Ivarsson V. 8. Kostic A. 11. Magnusson G. M. 19. Saevarsson B.	25. Elvarsson F. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 24. Gudmundsson G. 14. Mudrazija M. 23. Ragnarsson E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Helgason B. ⚽, Punyed R. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Marteinsson K. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Ljubicic S. ⚽, Sigfusson K. (A),
34', 3 - 1, Johannesson A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Johannesson A. ↓, Ragnarsson E. ↑,
46', Gautason V. ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
50', 🟨,
58', 3 - 2, Ragnarsson E. ⚽,
61', Punyed R. ↓, Magnusson G. M. ↑,
62', Bjarnason E. 🟨,
62', Bjarnason E. ↓, Elvarsson F. ↑,
72', 4 - 2, Helgason B. ⚽,
74', Sigfusson K. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
74', Baldursson B. ↓, Einarsson O. ↑,
74', Sigurhjartarson E. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
82', Magnusson S. ↓, Fridriksson S. ↑,
83', Bjarkason O. ↓, Gislason G. ↑,
89', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

IR Reykjavik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, IR Reykjavik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IR Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
23.08.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - IR Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	IR Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	0:1 ✺
13.08.25	Throttur Reykjavik - IR Reykjavik	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	IR Reykjavik - Fjölnir	3:3 ✺
30.07.25	Selfoss - IR Reykjavik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTW
- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
23.08.25	Keflavík - Völsungur	7:2 ✺
17.08.25	Fylkir - Keflavík	4:0 ✺
13.08.25	Keflavík - Grindavik	4:0 ✺
08.08.25	HK Kópavogur - Keflavík	3:0 ✺
29.07.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
22.06.25	Keflavík - IR Reykjavik	0:0
22.09.24	Keflavík - IR Reykjavik	2:3
18.09.24	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	1:4
18.07.24	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	0:1
03.05.24	Keflavík - IR Reykjavik	1:2
24.08.17	Keflavík - IR Reykjavik	3:2
16.06.17	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	1:3

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