Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)


	Keflavík		Grindavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	5	6.5
	1.41	4.85	5.05	Watch
	1.38	5.6	6.12
	1.40	5.10	6.12	Watch
	1.35	5	6.5
	1.41	4.85	5.46	Watch
	1.28	5.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)	5.14 ↓ (5.6)	6.05 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Keflavík
67.1%

Draw
17.8%

Grindavik
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

16.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

15.5%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Grindavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keflavík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grindavik than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Keflavík - Grindavik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Keflavík will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Grindavik will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keflavík: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Keflavík (votes: 3 - 50%). Grindavik (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 20. Brigic M. 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 27. Gautason V. 24. Gudmundsson G. 4. Heras N. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. 14. Mudrazija M. 7. Sigfusson K.	1. Niemela M. (G) 14. Eysteinsson H. 29. Gavilan M. 23. Gudmundsson S. 7. Gunnarsson R. 2. Heimisson A. 11. Hermannsson B. 16. Nieblas D. 9. Robertsson A. (C) 25. Sanniez T. 10. Sigurdsson I.
Substitutes
18. Bjarnason E. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 3. Johannesson A. 10. Ljubicic S. 23. Ragnarsson E.	19. Arnarsson A. 27. Ellertsson M. 6. Hauksson V. 22. Olafsson L. 26. Runarsson E. 12. Sigtryggsson K. (G) 21. Sigurdsson G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Elvarsson F. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Al Ghoul M. ⚽, Sigfusson K. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Sigfusson K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
57', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
57', Elvarsson F. ↓, Johannesson A. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Magnusson A. ⚽, Sigfusson K. (A),
68', Nieblas D. ↓, Hauksson V. ↑,
68', Robertsson A. ↓, Ellertsson M. ↑,
69', Gautason V. ↓, Ragnarsson E. ↑,
69', Al Ghoul M. ↓, Ljubicic S. ↑,
75', Eysteinsson H. ↓, Runarsson E. ↑,
75', Gavilan M. ↓, Olafsson L. ↑,
75', Sigfusson K. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Johannesson A. ⚽, Ljubicic S. (A),
89', Hermannsson B. ↓, Arnarsson A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Keflavík is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
08.08.25	HK Kópavogur - Keflavík	3:0 ✺
29.07.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	Keflavík - Fjölnir	5:4 ✺
11.07.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Keflavík	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWL
- Grindavik
Icelandic Division 1
08.08.25	Grindavik - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:2 ✺
29.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Grindavik	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Grindavik - Throttur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Grindavik - Selfoss	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Fjölnir - Grindavik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
07.07.25	Grindavik - Keflavík	1:4
08.08.24	Keflavík - Grindavik	2:1
31.05.24	Grindavik - Keflavík	2:2
Icelandic League Cup
01.03.24	Keflavík - Grindavik	3:3
Icelandic Fotboltinet Cup
30.01.21	Keflavík - Grindavik	0:1
Icelandic Division 1
31.10.20	Keflavík - Grindavik	Canceled
08.07.20	Grindavik - Keflavík	4:4

Upcoming Matches