Match Info

Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: ÍR-völlur (Reykjavík)


	IR Reykjavik		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.34	3.55	2.45
	2.46	3.8	2.57
	2.54	3.65	2.45	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.35	3.58	2.47	Watch
	2	4	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.98)	3.65 ↓ (3.91)	2.55 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IR Reykjavik
39.3%

Draw
25%

Thor Akureyri
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

23.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

23.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IR Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IR Reykjavik's form might have worsened.

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IR Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IR Reykjavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thor Akureyri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

IR Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sigurjonsson V. (G) 4. Gunnarsson S. 29. Haraldsson R. 9. Helgason B. 15. Hlynsson O. 8. Kostic A. 23. Kristinsson A. 11. Magnusson G. M. 6. Marteinsson K. 13. McAusland M. (C) 30. Punyed R.	1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 24. Geirsson Y. 37. Gunnarsson S. 8. Halldorsson E. 25. Jakobsen C. 15. Kristjansson K. 19. Ragnarsson R. 7. Sigurjonsson O. 9. Victor R.
Substitutes
3. Baldursson B. 7. Bjarkason O. 18. Gislason G. 22. Ingolfsson J. 25. Petersen G. 19. Saevarsson G. 16. Sigurhjartarson E.	11. Bayiha C. 17. Gislason F. 3. Guardia J. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Kristinsson A. ↓, Ingolfsson J. ↑,
36', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Bayiha C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Gunnarsson S. ⚽,
67', Punyed R. ↓, Saevarsson G. ↑,
78', Jakobsen C. 🟨,
78', Kristjansson K. ↓, Guardia J. ↑,
78', Gunnarsson S. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
90+2', Bayiha C. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 0.

IR Reykjavik has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Thor is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Thor has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, IR Reykjavik won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IR Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
13.08.25	Throttur Reykjavik - IR Reykjavik	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	IR Reykjavik - Fjölnir	3:3 ✺
30.07.25	Selfoss - IR Reykjavik	0:1 ✺
25.07.25	IR Reykjavik - Njarðvík	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Völsungur - IR Reykjavik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWTW
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
13.08.25	Völsungur - Thor Akureyri	2:5 ✺
08.08.25	Fylkir - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Grindavik	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
09.06.25	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	1:1
Icelandic Cup
19.04.25	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	3:1
Icelandic Division 1
31.08.24	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	1:1
30.06.24	IR Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	1:1
14.08.18	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	5:2
02.06.18	IR Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	0:1
11.08.17	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	0:0

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